PA 854: Macroeconomic Policy and International Financial Regulation
This site provides resources for students in PA 854
at the University of Wisconsin,
Madison for Fall 2019 Semester
Source: BEA 2019Q2 advance release, Federal Reserve via FRED, author's calculations regarding term spread/growth regressions. 2019Q3 spread based on July data.
Important Dates |
Downloadable Course Materials and Information Sources |
Robert M. LaFollette School of Public Affairs |
LECTURE: MW 2:00PM - 3:15PM, Van Hise 159
Professor Menzie Chinn
Office Hours: M 12-1:30, W 5:30-6 (provisional subject to change)
7418 Social Sciences
Tel: (608) 262-7397
PA854 Syllabus in PDF file.
This course surveys international macroeconomics, with special reference to international monetary policy and international financial market architecture. Topics include the structure of international financial markets; the role of central banks; exchange-rate systems; the determination of balance of payments and exchange rates; macroeconomics of open economies; policy analysis for open economies; policy coordination; the International Monetary Fund; and financial crises.
The aim of this course is to provide an analytical background for those who plan to go into government service, international organizations and agencies, businesses involved in the global economy, nongovernmental organizations with international foci, and consulting firms analyzing international policy issues.
The recommended textbook is Caves, Frankel and Jones, World Trade and Payments 10th Edition. The recommended text is not available at UW Bookstore; Amazon currently has copies available.
The required textbook is available in draft form below. Additional assigned readings will be available on the Web (via links on this website).
- Midterm 1: 10/16 [provisional]
- Midterm 2: 11/20 [provisional]
- Term paper due date: 12/12
Downloadable Course Materials
- [FRB] Miller, "There is no single best predictor of recessions," FEDS Notes, May 21, 2019.
- [WEO] IMF, World Economic Outlook update (July 2019).
- [BIS] Triennial Central Bank Survey - Foreign exchange turnover in April 2016: preliminary global results (Basel: BIS, December).
- [OECD] K. Herve, 2010, “The OECD's New Global Model,” Economics Department Working Paper No. 368 (Paris: OECD, December).
- [PP] M. Pakko and P. Pollard, 2003, “Burgernomics: a big Mac guide to purchasing power parity,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 85(6): 9-28.
- [Br] M. Brunnermeier, “Deciphering the Liquicity and Credit Crunch of 2007-08,” Journal of Economic Perspectives (2009).
- [Fr] J. Frankel, 2003, “Experience of and lessons from exchange rate regimes in emerging economies,” mimeo (Cambridge: Harvard University, September).
Additional Optional Readings/Links
- US Treasury, "Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Policies of Major Trading Partners of the United States," May 28, 2018.
- External Sector Report, 2019
- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Jackson Hole Symposium "Fostering a Dynamic Global Economy," August 24-26, 2017.
- Furman, "Extracting the Signal from the Noise: 7 Tips for Interpreting Macroeconomic Data," Milken Institute Review (2016).
- Borio et al., "Covered interest parity lost: understanding the cross-currency basis," BIS Quarterly Review, September 2016.
Economics and Economic Policy Links
U.S. Government Agencies
Current and Historical Data
- St. Louis Fed economic database Thousands of time series on economic activity, in an easily downloadable form.
- Economist Economic Indicators
- IMF World Economic Outlook April 2019 database (annual); July 2019 Update.
- IMF International Financial Statistics (monthly, quarterly, annual)
- Note: IMF, International Financial Statistics, and World Bank, World Development Indicators, available from DISC.
- Economic Indicators Publication of CEA and Congressional Joint Economic Committee contains recent economic data.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis, Dept. of Commerce Data on GDP and components (the national income and product accounts) as well as other macroeconomic data.
- Bureau of the Census, Dept. of Commerce Data on the characteristics of the US population as well as of US firms.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dept. of Labor Data on wages, prices, productivity, and employment and unemployment rates.
- Energy Information Agency, Dept. of Energy Data on energy (electricity, gas, petroleum) production, consumption and prices.
- Bank for International settlements Effective Exchange Rate Indices.
- Economic Report of the President, various years. The back portion of this annual publication contains about 70 tables of government economic data.
- NBER Data Specialized economic databases created by economists associated with the National Bureau of Economic Research.
- NBER listing of economic releases Compendium of links to economic releases, and archived releases.
- Pacific Exchange Rate Service.
- Federal Reserve Board data Monetary, financial and output data
collected by the Nation's central bank.
- Penn World Tables Annual GDP and other data for over a hundred countries, expressed
in dollars, after adjusting for differing price levels.
PA854 Macro Policy & Int'l Financial Regulation / UW Madison / firstname.lastname@example.org / 18 August 2018