Econ
330
Week
2 Answers
Fall
2002
1.
Burton
and Lombra ch.2 questions 5 and 6
How
does the Fed calculate M1, M2, M3, and DNFD? I will leave it to you to read
your notes and page 28 in your text.
Remember that your class notes add a couple of items to M3 that your
textbook does not include.
Are
all these aggregates money? The answer to this question is not straightforward,
but most texts seem to think M1 is the closest to thing to money, since “M1
contains the “monetary” assets we currently
use in transactions” (Burton and Lombra, p. 29). The assets we use in transactions are changing over time, though,
so our idea of what money is might also change (we may still call it M1,
however).
Which
contains the most liquid assets? M1
contains the most liquid assets.
Which
aggregate is smallest? Largest? M1 is
smallest, M3 is largest. This is
obvious, since M2 contains everything in M1 plus some items and M3 contains
everything in M2 plus some items.
Why
does the Fed have so many monetary measures?
Which monetary aggregate is most closely associated with transactions
balances?
First,
M1 should be most closely associated with transactions balances since this
aggregate contains those assets actually used in transactions.
Why
does the Fed have so many monetary measures?
Some ideas:
-
There
is disagreement among economists about what actually constitutes a means of
payment, since many financial claims are “borderline.”
-
The
measurement of monetary aggregates is subject to error, so keeping track of
more than one aggregate can provide some insurance. For e.g., if policymakers find that a monetary aggregate is
behaving erratically due to measurement error, they can look at another
aggregate for guidance.
-
The
items included in any one measure are changing all the time, so an aggregate
that is useful for some purpose at one point in time might be less useful at a
later point.
-
The
Fed needs to target a monetary aggregate when setting monetary policy. Even if aggregates are not changing over
time, one aggregate may be more useful than another over a time period. In fact, we have seen the Fed change choose
to target different monetary aggregates at different times.
-
From
your class notes, different emphasis on the theoretical approach to defining
what money is (money is what is used as a means of payment) vs. the empirical
approach (a useful monetary aggregate moves in expected ways with other
aggregate macroeconomic variables) might lead to different ideas about what the
proper definition of money is, or which aggregate is most useful for a certain purpose.
2.
a)
With Y=3 given exogenously, we can solve for equilibrium values by setting MD
= MS:
18
+ 0.85(3) – 0.40i = 15 => i = 13.88%
If
the nominal interest rate is below this equilibrium rate, then money demand is
greater than money supply. Without
going through the details, we know that in cases of excess demand, price (the
nominal interest rate in this case) rises until equilibrium is reached. More formally, if we consider a simplified
world with only two ways to hold your wealth, money and bonds, excess demand
for money means excess supply of bonds.
Excess supply of bonds means bond prices are falling and the nominal
interest rate is therefore rising (using the inverse relationship between bond
prices and interest rates). Nominal
interest rates continue to rise (as bond prices fall) until the bond market
(and therefore the money market) is back in equilibrium.
b)
If
MS rises to 20, we just redo part (a) with this new (exogenously
given) money supply subbed in:
18
+ 0.85(3) – 0.40i = 20 => i = 1.38%
Similarly,
if Y rises from 3 to 5 (using the old level of money supply):
18
+ 0.85(5) – 0.40i = 15 => i = 18.13%
Graphically,
the first change would be illustrated by a rightward shift in the MS
curve. The second change would be illustrated by a rightward shift in the money
demand curve.
c) A money supply contraction is a leftward
shift in the MS curve; a contraction in money demand is a leftward
shift in the money demand curve. In
this case, we can say for sure that the level of money balances held will be
lower but we cannot say whether the interest rate went up or down without more
information about the relative magnitudes of the shifts in money supply and
money demand.