Bruce E. Hansen
"Interval Forecasts and Parameter Uncertainty"
Journal of Econometrics, (2006), 135, 377-398.
Link to Abstract and PDF File of Paper
Some of the above material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grants No. SES-9022176, SES-9120576, SBR-9412339, and SBR-9807111.
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of the NSF.