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Noah Williams

Professor of Economics 

econ dept

uw

tower


Department of Economics
University of Wisconsin - Madison
William H. Sewell Social Science Building, Room 7434
1180 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706-1393
(608) 263-3864

e-mail:  nwilliam@ssc.wisc.edu


Research: Publications  | Working Papers |  CV

Teaching:  Econ 312  | Econ 714



NEW ITEMS:

  • New paper below: "Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," joint with Evans, Honakpohja, and Sargent.
  • Updated paper below: "Monetary Policy under Financial Uncertainty", prepared for the Fall 2011 Carnegie-Rochester-NYU Conference.


  • PUBLICATIONS:

    Escaping Nash Inflation
    with In-Koo Cho and Thomas J. Sargent.
    Review of Economic Studies, 69(1): 1-40, January 2002.
    ReStud Home Page  

    Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth
    with Marco Cagetti, Lars Peter Hansen, and Thomas J. Sargent.
    Review of Financial Studies, 15(2): 363-404, March 2002.
    RFS Link

    Modeling Model Uncertainty*
    with Alexei Onatski.
    Journal of the European Economic Assocation, 1(5): 1087-1022, September 2003.
    Full Paper: PDF
    Also released as: NBER Working Paper No. w9566

    Small Noise Asymptotics for a Stochastic Growth Model*
    Journal of Economic Theory, 119(2): 271-298, December 2004.
    Working paper version: PDF
    Also released as: NBER Working Paper No. w10194

    Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escape from Nash Inflation*
    with Thomas J. Sargent.
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 8(2): 360-391, March 2005.
    Working paper version: PDF

    Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models*
    with Andrew Levin, Alexei Onatski, and John Williams
    in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, M. Gertler and K. Rogoff, eds. MIT Press, Cambridge, pp. 229-287, 2006.
    Full paper: PDF

    Robust Control and Model Misspecification
    with Lars Peter Hansen, Thomas J. Sargent, and Gauhar A. Turmuhambetova.
    Journal of Economic Theory,128(1): 45-90, May 2006.
    Full Paper: PDF

    Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation*
    with Thomas J. Sargent and Tao Zha.
    American Economic Review, 96(4): 1193-1224, September 2006.
    Full Paper: PDF
    Earlier version released as: NBER Working Paper No. w10764

    Roubst Control ^
    An Entry for the New Palgrave, 2nd Edition.
    Latest Version: February 2007.
    Full Paper: PDF

    Optimal Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach
    with Lars E.O. Svensson.
    Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, July/August 2008, 90(4), pp. 275-293.
    Full Paper:
    PDF

    The Conquest of South American Inflation*
    with Thomas J. Sargent and Tao Zha.
    Journal of Political Economy, 117(2), 211-256, April 2009.
    Published version (at UC Press site):
    PDF  Working paper version: PDF

    Empirical and Policy Performance of a Forward-Looking Monetary Model*
    with Alexei Onatski
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25(1), 145-176, January/February 2010
    Published version: Here. Working paper version: PDF

    Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning
    with George W. Evans and Seppo Honkapohja.
    International Economic Review, 51(1): 237-262, February 2010.
    Working paper version:
    PDF

    Persistent Private Information ^
    Econometrica, 79(4): 1233-1274, July 2011.
    Working paper version: PDF


    WORKING PAPERS:

    Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
    with George W. Evans, Seppo Honkapohja, and Thomas J. Sargent.
    Latest Version: January 2012.
    Full Paper:
    PDF

    Monetary Policy under Financial Uncertainty
    Latest Version: April 2012.
    Full Paper:
    PDF

    On Dynamic Principal-Agent Problems in Continuous Time^
    Latest Version: September 2009.
    Full Paper:
    PDF

    Escape Dynamics in Learning Models*
    Latest Version: January 2009. 
    Full Paper: PDF

    Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Foreacast Targeting^
    with Lars E.O. Svensson
    Latest Version: May 2007.
    Full paper: PDF
    Programs to analyze optimal policy

    Bayesian and Adaptive Optimal Policy Under Model Uncertainty^
    with Lars E.O. Svensson
    Latest Version: September 2007.
    Full paper: PDF

    Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models:
    A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach^

    with Lars E.O. Svensson
    Latest Version: March 2008.
    Full paper: PDF
    Video of presentation: (requires Internet Explorer) At Bank of Korea

    Stability and Long Run Equilibrium in Stochastic Fictitious Play
    Latest Version: July 4, 2002.
    Full Paper: PDF

    Adaptive Learning and Business Cycles*
    Latest Version: January 1, 2003. Preliminary.
    Abstract   Full Paper: PDF

    Notes on Large Deviations in Economics and Finance
    Latest Version: April 19, 2004
    Seminar/Discussion Slides: PDF


    Items marked * are based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 0317848.
    Items marked ^ are based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 0550564.