PA 854: Macroeconomic Policy and International Financial Regulation
This site provides resources for students in PA 854
at the University of Wisconsin,
Madison for Spring 2010 Semester
Figure 1: Log GDP in Ch.2005$ SAAR (blue), potential GDP (black), and WSJ mean forecast (red). Source: M. Chinn, "What Do Business Economists Think the ARRA Accomplished?,"
Econbrowser, March 15, 2010, based upon BEA, CBO and WSJ data.
Syllabus |
Important Dates |
Downloadable Course Materials and Information Sources |
Robert M. LaFollette School of Public Affairs |
Department of
Economics
LECTURE: MW 11-12:15 2106 Mechanical Engineering
Instructor
Professor Menzie Chinn
Office Hours: M1-2; 4-5
7418 Social Sciences
Tel: (608) 262-7397
email:
mchinn@lafollette.wisc.edu
Home Page
PA854 Syllabus in PDF file.
This course surveys international macroeconomics, with special reference to international monetary policy and international financial market architecture. Topics include the structure of international financial markets; the role of central banks; exchange-rate systems; the determination of balance of payments and exchange rates; macroeconomics of open economies; policy analysis for open economies; policy coordination; the International Monetary Fund; and financial crises.
The aim of this course is to provide an analytical background for those who plan to go into government service, international organizations and agencies, businesses involved in the global economy, nongovernmental organizations with international foci, and consulting firms analyzing international policy issues.
The textbook is Caves, Frankel and Jones, World Trade and Payments 10th Edition, available at the University Bookstore.
Additional assigned readings will be available on the Web (via links on this website).
- Midterm 1: 3/3.
- Midterm 2: 4/21.
- Term paper due TBA
Downloadable Course Materials
Required Readings
- IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2009, Chapter 1.
- White House Council of Economic Advisers, The Economic Report of the President, 2010.
- G. Galati and A. Heath, 2007, "What drives the growth in FX activity? Interpreting the 2007 triennial survey," Quarterly Review (Basle: BIS, December).
- M. Chinn, 2004, “Incomes, Exchange rates and the U.S. trade deficit, once again,” International Finance 7(3): 451-469.
- M. Pakko and P. Pollard, 2003, “Burgernomics: a big Mac guide to purchasing power parity,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 85(6): 9-28.
- T. Dalsgaard, C. André and P. Richardson, 2001, “Standard shocks in the OECD Interlink model,” Economics Department Working Paper No. 306 (Paris: OECD, September).
- M. Brunnermeier, forthcoming, “Deciphering the Liquicity and Credit Crunch of 2007-08,” Journal of Economic Perspectives.
- M. Chinn, 2006, "The Rehabilitation of Interest Rate Parity in the Floating Rate Era: Longer Horizons, Alternative Expectations, and Emerging Markets," JIMF 25.
- M. Hutchison, 2003, “Is official foreign exchange intervention effective,” FRBSF Economic Letter 2003-20 (July 18).
- J. Frankel, 2003, “Experience of and lessons from exchange rate regimes in emerging economies,” mimeo (Cambridge: Harvard University, September).
- Aizenman, Chinn and Ito, "Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time," NBER Working Paper No. 14533. [pdf].
- "A Faith-based Initiative: Do We Really Know that a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Facilitates Current Account Adjustment," mimeo [PDF].
News Reports and Additional Optional Readings
- Aizenman, Chinn and Ito, "The 'Impossible Trinity' Hypothesis in an Era of Global Imbalances: Measurement and Testing," forthcoming, JIMF.
- CEA, The Economic Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 Third Quarterly Report, April 14, 2010.
- IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2010.
- D. Leonhardt, "Judging Stimulus by Job Data Reveals Success," NYT (Feb 17, 2010).
- "A Reach Regained," Financial Times April 22, 2010.
- "Time to Rebalance," Economist
- Alan Greenspan, "The Crisis," Brookings Panel on Economic Activity.
- D. Leonhardt, "Judging Stimulus by Job Data Reveals Success," NYT (Feb 17, 2010).
- IMF, World Economic Outlook, January 2010 updated.
- White House, Budget of the United States, FY2011: Analytical Perspectives.
- Steindel, "Chain-weighting: The New Approach to Measuring GDP," NY Fed Current Issues (Dec. 1995).
- Summary and Chapter 2 from CBO, CBO, The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2010 to 2020 (January 2010).
- "The American Reinvestment and Recovery Plan -- By the Numbers"
- CBO, "Cost Estimate of H.R. 1, American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009"
- CBO, "Estimated Macroeconomic Impacts of H.R. 1 as Passed by the House and by the Senate"
- American Recovery and Reinvestment Act website
- P. Cohen, Ivory Tower Unswayed by Crashing Economy, NYT (5 March 09).
- P. Swagel, 2009, "The Financial Crisis: An Inside View," paper presented at the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, March 2009
- The Cavalry of Commerce, Economist, March 10th, 2009.
- Mathias Dewatripont, Xavier Freixas and Richard Portes, Macroeconomic Stability and Financial Regulation: Key Issues for the G20 (CEPR, March 2009).
News Sources
Other
Weblogs
Economics and Economic Policy Links
International Organizations
U.S. Government Agencies
Current and Historical Data
- Note: IMF, International Financial Statistics, and World Bank, World Development Indicators, available from DISC.
- St. Louis Fed economic database Thousands
of time series on economic activity, in an easily downloadable form.
- Economic Indicators Many Department of Commerce economic series, all in one place.
- White House Economic Briefing Room Contains
current economic data.
- Economic Indicators Publication of CEA and Congressional Joint Economic Committee contains
recent economic data.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis, Dept. of Commerce Data on GDP and components (the national income and product accounts) as well as other macroeconomic data.
- Bureau of the Census, Dept. of Commerce Data on the characteristics
of the US population as well as of US firms.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dept. of Labor Data on
wages, prices, productivity, and employment and unemployment rates.
- Energy Information Agency, Dept. of Energy Data on
on energy (electricity, gas, petroleum) production, consumption and prices.
- Statistical Abstract of the US
A compilation of statistics about the US, from government and nongovernment sources.
- Bank for International
settlements Effective Exchange Rate Indices.
- Economic Report of the President, various years. The back portion of
this annual publication contains about 70 tables of government economic data.
- NBER Data Specialized economic databases created by
economists associated with the National Bureau of Economic Research.
- NBER listing of economic releases Compendium of links to economic releases, and archived releases.
- Pacific Exchange Rate Service.
- Federal Reserve Board data Monetary, financial and output data
collected by the Nation's central bank.
- Penn World Tables Annual GDP and other data for over a hundred countries, expressed
in dollars, after adjusting for differing price levels.
PA854 Macro Policy & Int'l Financial Regulation / UW Madison / mchinn@lafollette.wisc.edu / 2 May 2010